« Previous | Next »
Trying to Reason with Hurricane Season
Sent in by Dan Jackson around 08/08/07.
Submit a comment and share your thoughts.
Trackback URL: Trying to Reason with Hurricane Season.
In New England you pretty much have to rely on the hurricane season to see any decent sized swell… so everything was looking great in May when this forecast came out:
On May 22, 2007, NOAA released their pre-season forecast for the 2007 season. They predicted 13 to 17 named storms, with 7 to 10 becoming hurricanes, and 3 to 5 becoming major hurricanes.[5]
However… it’s August 8th and we haven’t seen one hurricane yet (all the current storms are tracked over at wikipedia on the “2007 Atlantic Hurricane Season” page). And… now we have an updated forecast that was released a few days ago:
On August 3, 2007, Klotzbach’s team lowered their season estimate to 15 named storms, with 8 becoming hurricanes and 4 becoming major hurricanes. They noted that conditions had become slightly less favorable for storms than they were earlier in the year. Sea surface temperature anomalies were cooler, and there were several incidences of Saharan Air Layer outbreaks. ENSO conditions were also noted to have been slightly cooler.[8]
Which explains why the surf report has been consistently flat:
Source: www.nesurf.com
Last year I was fortunate enough to catch both Ernesto and Florence… hopefully we get a few storms rolling through. Here’s a video of a few people that were out at Higgins Beach in Maine during Florence last year (if you want to check out the swell):
YouTube Hurricane Florence at Higgins Beach
Leave a Reply